Alessandro Nardaggio

22
Dec

Volatility and Probability: How Options Are Really Priced

Options are not priced on opinions, forecasts, or narratives. They are priced on probability distributions and volatility expectations. Most retail
3 min read
17
Dec

Options Strategy: A Professional, Probability-Based Approach

Options are not strategies by themselves. They are tools — and tools only work when used in the right context. Most
6 min read
30
Oct
Empty diplomatic negotiation table with unsigned documents and unused pens between US and China flags after Trump-Xi meeting October 2025

Trump-Xi Meeting October 2025: No Deal Signed, Only Empty Promises

The Trump-Xi summit ended with handshakes and promises to sign deals "pretty soon." Translation: nothing was accomplished. What this means for your portfolio.
7 min read
28
Oct
Tesla Cybercab autonomous robotaxi 2026

Tesla's $10 Trillion Path: Cybercab, Optimus & AI Domination by 2030

Realistic analysis of Tesla's path to a $10T valuation by 2035 When Elon Musk pivoted Tesla from "
7 min read
27
Oct
The $800B AI Infrastructure Crisis: How OpenAI, Oracle, and CoreWeave Are Shifting CapEx Risk

The $800B AI Infrastructure Crisis: How OpenAI, Oracle, and CoreWeave Are Shifting CapEx Risk

THE GREAT CAPEX SHIFT: HOW AI COMPANIES ARE OFFLOADING BILLIONS ONTO ORACLE, COREWEAVE, AND PRIVATE EQUITY OpenAI announced in July
8 min read
26
Oct
NVIDIA'S $110 BILLION CIRCULAR FINANCING MACHINE: THE AI BUBBLE'S TICKING TIME BOMB

NVIDIA's $110B AI Bubble: The Circular Financing Time Bomb

NVIDIA'S $110 BILLION CIRCULAR FINANCING MACHINE: THE AI BUBBLE'S TICKING TIME BOMB NVIDIA isn't
7 min read
25
Oct
Two Sovereign Downgrades in One Day: The Cracks Are Showing

Two Sovereign Downgrades Over the Weekend: Will Monday Be Different?

Friday October 25, 2025 the S&P 500 closed at 6,791.69 at another all-time high. Saturday morning
5 min read
25
Oct
Bull or Bear: Why I'm Preparing for a Pivot

Bull or Bear: Why I'm Preparing for a Pivot

Friday, October 24, 2025. The S&P 500 closed at 6,791.69. Another all-time high. Again. That'
7 min read